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Gartner's top 10 predictions for '09

Posted: 23 Jan 2009     Print Version  Bookmark and Share

Keywords:video telepresence  virtualisation  IT industry  business process outsourcing 

• By 2012, 30 per cent of mobile PCs sold in the worldwide consumer market will be priced at less than Rs.15,010.92 ($300).—Low-cost PCs allow vendors to increase PC penetration in emerging markets across Asia, Latin America, Eastern Europe, and the Middle East and Africa. The inclusion of wireless functionality for mobile Internet connectivity, when combined with growing availability of wireless infrastructure makes these devices attractive to telecommunications service providers, opening up a new distribution channel.

According to Gartner, enterprises should also consider the possible uses of these devices and whether they enable new business opportunities. In any event, they should prepare to find individually purchased devices of this type being attached to the network by remote and mobile workers, and revisit their security and management policies on non-corporate devices.

• By year end 2013, 40 per cent of enterprise knowledge workers will have abandoned or removed their desk phone.—With complex desk phones costing several hundred dollars per unit and growing moves towards remote workers, hot desking and other business practices which unlink an individual from a fixed location, there are significant cost savings possible. There will be resistance from workers, especially the older and more traditionally minded, whose working practices are more centred around the desktop device, which will prevent total elimination of the desk phone, but the trend is clear. According to Gartner, organisations should consider whether users need a desk phone and a mobile device, and plan to reduce unnecessary expenses.

• By the end of 2010, wireless operators will cease to offer unlimited (flat-rate) mobile data plans.—Gartner warns that users must expect data throughput limitations on 3G to continue and plan mobile enterprise services accordingly. New bandwidth-intensive smart phones and Mobile Internet Devices are accelerating the demand for bandwidth, with devices like Apple's iPhone driving significant increases in mobile data usage. Networks are already hitting capacity, and increased customer demand is impacting network availability and effective throughput. Mobile data services are already slowing down as carriers frequently fail to deliver on the promised speeds.

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