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Cellular subscribers to reach 3B by 2008, reports ABI Research

Posted: 09 Feb 2006     Print Version  Bookmark and Share

Keywords:Mobile Subscriber Database  ABI Research  cellular  cellphone 

The "Mobile Subscriber Database" from ABI Research reported that at the end of September 2005, the global cellular market clocked a record 200 crores (two billion) cellular subscribers. By the end of December 2005 that figure had reached 214 crores (2.14 billion) and is well on the way to reaching 300 crores (3 billion) before the end of 2008, the report further said.

"There is potential to push those numbers to 350 crores (3.5 billion) if some of the low-cost handset and infrastructure initiatives being promoted by manufacturers such as Nokia, Motorola and Ericsson can help operators in India, China and Africa push coverage further inland and reach the smaller townships and villages," said Jake Saunders, director of global forecasting at ABI Research. As a result of these initiatives mobile phone calls that typically cost Rs.0.88/minute (2 cents/minute) and Rs.2.21/minute (5 cents/minute) in China and India respectively will drop 20 per cent by 2008.

According to ABI Research, WCDMA is starting to ramp up, with 2006 starting to look like the year of the 3G phone. At the end of 2004 there were 1crore 73 lakhs (17.3 million) 3G subscribers, and by the end of 2005 there were 4 crores 20 lakhs (42 million) WCDMA subscriptions—a year-on-year growth rate of 142 per cent. By the end of 2010, there will be 100 crores (1 billion) 3G subscribers milling around the world, which will equate to 30 per cent of the global subscriber market, the ABI Research report said.

"There are still definitely opportunities to be exploited in the mobile cellular market-place but there are also a number of new and old uncertainties," Saunders added.

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