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Autonomous tech to drive notable shift in automotive space

Posted: 13 Dec 2015     Print Version  Bookmark and Share

Keywords:Yole Developpement  sensor  ADAS  smartphone  electric vehicle 

"The technologies are available but important improvement must be clearly done to reduce costs, especially LIDAR and high-end GPS costs," confirmed Eric Mounier, senior technology & market analyst, MEMS & sensors at Yole.

By 2045, Yole is expecting 29 sensors to ensure the full autonomy of the vehicle. Indeed the number of sensors strongly increases prior to the sensor fusion stage, where sensors will be full exploited: long range radar, surround camera and ultrasonic sensors are part of the vehicle between 2010 and 2015; between 2020 and 2045. "The sensor modules volumes will present a 17 per cent CAGR growth between 2015 and 2030," detailed Guillaume Girardin, technology & market analyst, MEMS & sensors at Yole.

Five basic blocks for autonomous cars

Under this analysis, Yole listed five different levels of autonomy between 2012 and after 2040. Additional functionalities at every level have been also determined by Yole's team. For example, in 2022, Yole forecasted the following functionalities: park assist, adaptive cruise control, lane keeping assist, lane departure warning system already in place since 2015. At this level, a car will embed for $2,200 of sensors (ADAS only): it combines ultrasonic, radar LRR and radar SRR, long distance camera, camera surround, stereo camera, microbolometre, LIDAR and dead reckoning...and more.

"This increasing number of sensors will benefit to the equipment makers but also to the semiconductor companies," said Mounier. "With more than 650 million units per year by 2030, automotive supply chain will face many challenges and will experience a tough battle."

Main sensors for autonomous cars


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