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No winners yet in 'universal memory' race

Posted: 23 Dec 2008     Print Version  Bookmark and Share

Keywords:universal memory  IC scaling  phase-change memory  MRAM 

A slew of promising "universal memory" technologies were unveiled at the International Electron Devices Meeting (IEDM) but don't look for mass adoption anytime soon.

At the same time, Everspin, Hynix, Infineon, IBM, Micron, Numonyx, Renesas, Samsung, Spansion, Toshiba and others are placing huge bets on one of the many candidates in what could be a "winner take all" game in the "universal memory" sweepstakes.

But economic factors, coupled with a possible slowdown in IC scaling, could once again push out the mass adoption of these "universal' candidates, such as FRAM, MRAM, phase-change memory (PCM), programmable metallisation cell (PMC), resistive RAM (RRAM) and others. "Universal memory" implies the ability to combine the capacity and cost benefits of DRAM, the fast read and write performance of SRAM, and the non-volatility of flash.

Some thought that many of these technologies would hit mass production or the mainstream by 2011-to-2013—or before. At that time, leading-edge flash devices are expected to hit the wall at the 22nm node or so.

Beyond that, it could be a huge challenge to scale. The floating-gate structure is the key component of today's NOR and NAND devices, but many wonder just how long the technology will scale before running out of gas. And in DRAMs, the capacitor is close to hitting the wall, prompting the need for a new technology.

Clearly, there are signs that memory scaling could slow down, as vendors are hitting a number of roadblocks in process and design technology. "22nm will be delayed or pushed out," said Alan Niebel, CEO of Web-Feet Research Inc.

In other words, current memory technologies may live longer than expected. This in turn could slow or push out the mass adoption of universal memory types, he said.

Tight race
So right now, there are no clear winners or losers in the "universal memory" sweepstakes. Some memory types have shipped in limited volumes. Others are still waiting on the runway, leaving sceptical customers to wade through the hype.

Every year, some vendors declare that their respective "universal memory" products will become mainstream. But every year, most—if not all—of these products fail to live up to the hype, and, in some cases, are delayed for one reason or another.

Some say that "universal memory" will gain traction from 2011 to 2014. It's a moving target, but it could come down to economics, Niebel said. The eventual winner in the "universal memory" sweepstakes will depend on which technology will obtain the most funding, he said.

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